England vs. Ukraine: Time, lineups, TV, streams, odds, prediction for Euro 2021 quarterfinal match
With every passing game it’s feeling like England is a team of destiny with their home field of Wembley Stadium in London hosting the semis and final if the English can get past Ukraine.
But it’s those same expectations that could weigh on the Three Lions should they face any moments of adversity. Despite a 2-0 win over Germany that will have turned some skeptics into believers, there’s still an air of fragility about manager Gareth Southgate’s England. Much of it is due to a history of falling short in major competitions, but there are also questions about whether the English are too conservative and cautious given the talent on the roster.
The other dynamic at play for the quarterfinal: England won’t be playing in front of the Wembley crowd like it did for its first four matches. The quarterfinal against Ukraine will take place in Rome, without traveling English support given quarantine rules for UK travelers imposed by the Italian government.
There are no such complexes with the Ukrainian team, which is playing with house money after making history by advancing out of the group stage. It took advantage of a Sweden red card in the Round of 16 to continue its unexpected run to the elite eight of the competition despite suffering two losses in the group stage.
Ukrainian legend and manager Andriy Shevchenko has the charisma and swagger to have his team believing it can spring another upset. Only a few weeks ago the Ukrainians held France to a 1-1 away draw in World Cup qualifying.
How to watch England vs. Ukraine
- Date: Saturday. July 3
- Time: 3 pm ET
- TV Channel: ABC
- Spanish-language TV: Univision, TUDN
- Streaming: fuboTV, ESPN app, ESPN3, TUDN.tv
The quarterfinal will be available in English on ABC and in Spanish on Univision and TUDN. Both those networks can be streamed on fuboTV (free 7-day trial).
England-Ukraine starting lineups
Gareth Southgate goes back to the team’s 4-3-3 after fielding a 3-man center back line to match Germany’s tactical set-up in the Round of 16. Ukraine, like Germany, will also be fielding a 3-man back line.
After his recent transfer to Manchester United, Jadon Sancho will be getting the start over Phil Foden. And Chelsea’s Mason Mount also returns to the starting lineup after sitting out the Germany match given he missed practice time in self isolation as a close contact of a COVID-19 positive case.
Southgate praised the Ukrainian front line in the lead-up to the match and Andriy Yarmolenko, the team’s captain, is fit after coming out of the last match. The Ukrainians be without forward Artem Besedin after the knee ligament tears suffered on the horror tackle that resulted in Sweden’s red card in the Round of 16.
Ukraine (5-2-3, left to right): 1-Bushchan — 17-Zinchenko, 22-Matviyenko, 4-Kryvtsov, 13-Zabarnyi, 21-Karavaev — 5-Sydorchuk, 6-Stepanenko — 10-Shaparenko, 9-Yaremchuk, 7-Yarmolenko
England (4-3-3, left to right): 1-Pickford — 3-Shaw, 6-Maguire, 5-Stones, 2-Walker — 19-Mount, 4-Rice, 14-Phillips — 10-Sterling, 17-Sancho, 9-Kane
England vs. Ukraine: Odds & prediction
This will be a lot closer than many expect.
England has faced Ukraine at Euros 2012 (a 1-0 win) and the Three Lions are 4-1-2 all-time against Ukraine. The last two meetings came during 2014 World Cup Qualifying and both matches were draws.
Much has been made of England’s four straight shutouts to start the tournament, but it’s worth noting that the expected-goals-against figure across those four games is actually 2.9. We’ll see if they can keep that up against a Ukraine team that has forwards who can create chances.
Ukraine could very well be the first team to get a goal against England (the Ukrainians have scored six times in four games) and that would make two specific props attractive: both-teams-to-score and England-to-win-and-both-teams-to-score.
After that, it comes down to the margin of victory for England. If you think there’s a chance it will be more than a goal, then the England -1.25 Asian Handicap should make for an interesting play given risk/reward.
Prediction: England 2, Ukraine 1
Odds courtesy of DraftKings
- England to win (90 mins): -215
- England to advance: -500
- Draw (90 mins): +330
- Ukraine to win (90 mins): +700
- Ukraine to advance:+385
- Both teams to score: +130
- England to win and both teams to score: +300
- England -1.25 Asian Handicap: +110
- Ukraine +1.25 Asian Handicap: -127
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