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‘If They Don’t Approve It, It’s Over’

‘If They Don’t Approve It, It’s Over’

The Athletics were restless at the end of their 54th season in town. The franchise had been unstable for years in its two-team market. Relocation seemed inevitable, and to stand against it, a prominent columnist wrote, would “compound a dismal mess, prolonging a state of chaos.”

That was how Red Smith, the Hall of Fame baseball writer, put it in 1954, when the A’s reached the end of their run in Philadelphia. Now, in Oakland, it’s the same old story. As they start the second half of their 54th season in California, the A’s might be as good as gone.

On Tuesday, the Oakland City Council will vote on the team’s term sheet for financing a $12 billion project that would include a new downtown ballpark at Howard Terminal. A yes vote is not binding, because an environmental impact report would still have to be approved in the fall. But a no vote would kill it and signal the end for the Athletics in Oakland.

“If they don’t approve it, it’s over,” Dave Kaval, the team president, said in an interview Friday. “Because basically they’ve had an opportunity to look at all the different facts and understand, ‘Does this make sense?’ We’re hopeful that it’s a yes, but with these things, it’s hard to say. We remain apart.”

The Athletics have been desperate for years to leave the antiquated Coliseum, which opened for mixed use in 1966 and has been the team’s home since 1968. Their lease expires in 2024, so they would not leave immediately. If they go, they would most likely wind up in the same metropolitan area that lured their former co-tenants in the Coliseum, the Raiders, with a new football stadium: Las Vegas.

Major League Baseball has given the A’s permission to explore options in Las Vegas, which is also home to the N.H.L.’s Golden Knights. Club officials have made several visits to the city, which would fit geographically into the American League West.

“Thinking of this as a bluff is a mistake,” Commissioner Rob Manfred said at the All-Star Game last Tuesday. “This is the decision point for Oakland.”

The A’s insist they will not build a new stadium at the Coliseum site, in an industrial area near the airport, beside Interstate 880. They failed in an effort to build near Laney College in Oakland, and the San Francisco Giants used their territorial rights to block the A’s from moving to San Jose. No such problems exist in the Nevada desert.

“It’s just a different business climate,” Kaval said. “One, there’s just a lot more sites because there’s a lot more land that hasn’t been developed. So I think you’d have that as a baseline. Two, you have a lot of people who are very interested in baseball there because it would bring a lot of tourists and really improve the local economy and generate a lot of tax dollars and economic activity.”

Kaval added: “Things like a public-private partnership that they did with the Raiders to help finance that, or even understanding the best locations for the land or partnering with the resorts and casinos, those are all things that they’re very comfortable doing. So they’ve been pretty aggressive.”

Las Vegas would be the fourth home for the Athletics, who spent a 13-year interlude in Kansas City before landing in Oakland. Only one team — the Montreal Expos, who became the Washington Nationals in 2005 — has changed markets since 1972, but M.L.B. is eager to expand, and the A’s have become a persistent roadblock.

The league has not expanded since 1998, and Manfred has repeatedly said that the sport cannot do so again until the stadium questions in Oakland and Tampa Bay have been resolved. The Rays, who were added in 1998 along with the Arizona Diamondbacks, are locked into their lease at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla., through 2027, which pushes decisions about their future off a few years. But moving the A’s — to a new ballpark in Oakland or to a new city — would be a first step.